CF Dictionary · Evaluating Ideas & Arguments
Positive Argument
An argument in favour of an idea — providing a reason to accept it. CF rejects positive arguments as ineffective.
Also: justifying argument
A positive argument is an argument offered in favour of an idea — it tries to give a reason to accept the idea. "Going to a restaurant is a good idea because I'm hungry" is a positive argument for the restaurant idea.
CF, following CR, rejects positive arguments. The reasons:
- Asymmetry. A universal claim ("all ravens are black") is refuted by a single counter-example, but cannot be proven by a million compatible observations. Pointing out 1000 good things isn't enough to prove an idea will succeed at its purpose.
- Errors have logical priority over positive traits. No matter how many good traits an airplane has, a single engine mistake can crash it.
- Refuting evidence is highly effective; confirming evidence isn't. CR says we learn by conjectures and refutations, not by accumulation of evidence.
- Regress. A positive argument for A is itself an idea; it needs its own argument; which needs another; etc. You can't establish certainty or probability by positive arguments without falling into regress or dogma.
What to do instead
CF recommends translating positive arguments into negative arguments — see translation-of-arguments. Many positive claims can be cleanly rewritten as criticisms of alternatives, which is a perfectly valid CF move.
"Positive arguments and induction are errors." — criticalfallibilism.com